Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 48.8% vs Kesler 55.9% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Paquette 77.9%
Defensive zone
Paquette 77.3%
Neutral zone
Paquette 77.2%
Result
Cedric Paquette favored at 77.6%
77.6%
22.4%
Paquette
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
9
(14 meetings)
5
9
Paquette
Kesler
Last 10: Paquette 5-5 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
2
5
Paquette
Kesler
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
1
0
Paquette
Kesler
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
2
4
Paquette
Kesler
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (2,579)
56.4% (8,095)
-6.7%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
60.7% (1,437)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
42.5% (426)
50.5% (1,908)
-8.0%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Paquette is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,176).
Paquette shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Paquette
Kesler
Home
50.2% (1,541)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
47.4% (1,507)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Paquette
Kesler
P1
49.1%
56.5%
P2
49.9%
55.9%
P3
47.5%
56.1%
OT
20.0%
46.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
48.8%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2018 | 3 | 09:51 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 3 | 00:47 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 3 | 00:36 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 2 | 19:29 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 2 | 12:46 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 2 | 07:24 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 1 | 06:47 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 3 | 12:20 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 3 | 07:54 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 3 | 06:07 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 2 | 16:17 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 2 | 16:11 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 2 | 10:42 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 3 | 07:38 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |