Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Paquette on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 52.3% vs Kesler 55.2% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kesler 65.0%
Defensive zone
Kesler 58.0%
Neutral zone
Kesler 66.7%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 65.9%
34.1%
65.9%
Paquette
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Paquette
Kesler
Last 6: Paquette 4-2 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
2
1
Paquette
Kesler
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paquette
2
1
Paquette
Kesler
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (658)
55.7% (741)
-1.3%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
67.0% (100)
+33.0%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (107)
50.0% (204)
-9.8%
On power play, Paquette has a +33.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Paquette is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Paquette shoots left. Kesler is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (731).
Home / Away
Paquette
Kesler
Home
53.3% (428)
52.5% (522)
Away
51.8% (340)
58.9% (523)
By Period
Paquette
Kesler
P1
54.4%
56.7%
P2
53.0%
56.8%
P3
50.6%
54.1%
OT
0.0%
16.7%
Final 5 min
52.4%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
52.6%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2018 | 3 | 09:51 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 3 | 00:47 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 3 | 00:36 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 2 | 19:29 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 2 | 12:46 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 2 | 07:24 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |