Cedric Paquette vs Ryan O'Reilly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (65% H2H, 20 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 48.8% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 21-21 in 42 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 60.3%
Defensive zone
Paquette 66.6%
Neutral zone
Paquette 54.6%
Result
Cedric Paquette favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Paquette
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
21
(42 meetings)
21
21
Paquette
O'Reilly
Last 10: Paquette 4-6 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
7
13
Paquette
O'Reilly
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
10
4
Paquette
O'Reilly
14 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Paquette
O'Reilly
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (2,579)
56.2% (15,260)
-6.5%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
58.8% (3,445)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
42.5% (426)
51.4% (2,811)
-8.9%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Paquette is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,872).
Paquette shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
Paquette
O'Reilly
Home
50.2% (1,541)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
47.4% (1,507)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Paquette
O'Reilly
P1
49.1%
55.6%
P2
49.9%
57.0%
P3
47.5%
55.1%
OT
20.0%
62.2%
Final 5 min
47.4%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
48.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2019 | 3 | 09:02 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 2 | 07:28 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 2 | 07:20 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 1 | 18:05 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 1 | 18:00 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 1 | 17:49 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 1 | 05:58 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 3 | 15:19 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 3 | 13:26 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 1 | 19:25 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 1 | 07:44 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 6, 2018 | 3 | 12:53 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 6, 2018 | 3 | 11:04 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Apr 6, 2018 | 3 | 04:09 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 6, 2018 | 3 | 03:57 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 6, 2018 | 2 | 18:25 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Apr 6, 2018 | 2 | 08:29 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 6, 2018 | 1 | 17:22 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 28, 2018 | 3 | 04:57 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Feb 28, 2018 | 1 | 14:42 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |