Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +27.0% FO% edge overall. Paquette wins 36.5% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 39.7% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (-27.0%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 61.0%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 66.3%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 55.0%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 60.8%
39.2%
60.8%
Paquette
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
30.1% (73)
56.6% (1,064)
-26.5%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
60.4% (260)
+39.6%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (30)
54.0% (261)
-27.3%
On power play, Paquette has a +39.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Paquette is 36.5% vs left-shot opponents (63).
Paquette shoots left. O'Reilly is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Paquette
O'Reilly
Home
28.1% (32)
54.9% (801)
Away
30.6% (72)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Paquette
O'Reilly
P1
36.4%
58.0%
P2
27.9%
56.7%
P3
25.0%
55.4%
Final 5 min
30.0%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
29.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%