Scouting Report
Cedric Paquette holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Oshie on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 48.8% vs Oshie 46.4% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Oshie leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Oshie 94.3%
Defensive zone
Paquette 79.6%
Neutral zone
Oshie 61.7%
Result
T.J. Oshie favored at 75.8%
24.2%
75.8%
Paquette
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Paquette
Oshie
Last 10: Paquette 4-6 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
1
8
Paquette
Oshie
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
3
0
Paquette
Oshie
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (2,579)
45.2% (764)
+4.5%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
47.7% (1,221)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
42.5% (426)
40.2% (164)
+2.3%
On power play, Paquette has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Paquette is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,176).
Paquette shoots left. Oshie is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,672).
Home / Away
Paquette
Oshie
Home
50.2% (1,541)
48.7% (1,103)
Away
47.4% (1,507)
43.7% (1,047)
By Period
Paquette
Oshie
P1
49.1%
47.3%
P2
49.9%
45.2%
P3
47.5%
46.7%
OT
20.0%
40.8%
Final 5 min
47.4%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
48.8%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2019 | 3 | 04:46 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 1 | 17:12 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 3 | 14:02 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 1 | 00:21 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 20, 2019 | 3 | 02:14 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 20, 2019 | 3 | 01:24 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 20, 2019 | 2 | 12:22 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 20, 2019 | 1 | 10:16 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 3 | 19:52 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 3 | 19:46 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Feb 20, 2018 | 3 | 07:09 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 1 | 14:27 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |