Scouting Report
Cedric Paquette holds a +14.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Paquette on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Paquette wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Pyatt shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 52.3% vs Pyatt 42.7% (+14.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paquette 71.0%
Defensive zone
Paquette 86.8%
Neutral zone
Paquette 80.5%
Result
Cedric Paquette favored at 80.0%
80.0%
20.0%
Paquette
Pyatt
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Paquette
Pyatt
Last 7: Paquette 5-2 Pyatt
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
1
0
Paquette
Pyatt
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pyatt
0
1
Paquette
Pyatt
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paquette
4
1
Paquette
Pyatt
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Pyatt
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (658)
40.5% (111)
+13.9%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (107)
29.7% (37)
+10.5%
On even strength, Paquette has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pyatt shoots left. Paquette is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Paquette shoots left. Pyatt is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (87).
Home / Away
Paquette
Pyatt
Home
53.3% (428)
39.3% (56)
Away
51.8% (340)
37.0% (92)
By Period
Paquette
Pyatt
P1
54.4%
35.3%
P2
53.0%
46.7%
P3
50.6%
32.7%
Final 5 min
52.4%
27.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
52.6%
Pyatt
34.0%▼
36.5%
37.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2018 | 1 | 16:25 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 1 | 07:46 | Neutral | Tom Pyatt |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 1 | 07:21 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 1 | 05:05 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 1 | 04:58 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 1 | 02:25 | Defensive | Tom Pyatt |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 1 | 02:10 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |