Scouting Report
Cedric Paquette holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Paquette on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 48.8% vs Pyatt 46.9% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paquette 56.3%
Defensive zone
Paquette 75.4%
Neutral zone
Paquette 53.5%
Result
Cedric Paquette favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
Paquette
Pyatt
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Paquette
Pyatt
Last 7: Paquette 5-2 Pyatt
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
1
0
Paquette
Pyatt
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pyatt
0
1
Paquette
Pyatt
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paquette
4
1
Paquette
Pyatt
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Pyatt
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (2,579)
47.2% (922)
+2.5%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
55.0% (20)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
42.5% (426)
42.0% (174)
+0.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pyatt shoots left. Paquette is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,872).
Paquette shoots left. Pyatt is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (706).
Home / Away
Paquette
Pyatt
Home
50.2% (1,541)
48.0% (598)
Away
47.4% (1,507)
45.0% (524)
By Period
Paquette
Pyatt
P1
49.1%
47.1%
P2
49.9%
47.6%
P3
47.5%
45.2%
OT
20.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
47.4%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
48.8%
Pyatt
34.0%▼
36.5%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2018 | 1 | 16:25 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 1 | 07:46 | Neutral | Tom Pyatt |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 1 | 07:21 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 1 | 05:05 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 1 | 04:58 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 1 | 02:25 | Defensive | Tom Pyatt |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 1 | 02:10 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |