Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Paquette wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 50.8% vs Seguin 57.4% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paquette 65.7%
Defensive zone
Paquette 66.4%
Neutral zone
Paquette 65.9%
Result
Cedric Paquette favored at 66.0%
66.0%
34.0%
Paquette
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Paquette
Seguin
Last 9: Paquette 3-6 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
4
Paquette
Seguin
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
2
1
Paquette
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Paquette
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (529)
59.6% (736)
-8.4%
Power Play
58.8% (17)
61.5% (65)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (75)
47.6% (124)
-0.9%
On even strength, Seguin has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Paquette is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (242).
Paquette shoots left. Seguin is 59.1% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Home / Away
Paquette
Seguin
Home
51.9% (339)
60.1% (461)
Away
49.6% (282)
56.3% (464)
By Period
Paquette
Seguin
P1
52.7%
59.1%
P2
53.1%
58.9%
P3
47.1%
57.3%
OT
0.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
47.2%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
50.9%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2020 | 3 | 11:52 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 3 | 11:42 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 3 | 09:06 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 3 | 02:30 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 3 | 02:13 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 2 | 08:10 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 3 | 09:33 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 2 | 07:26 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 1 | 00:07 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |