Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +26.2% FO% edge overall. Paquette wins 19.5% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 39.7% vs Seguin 55.4% (-26.2%)
Offensive zone
Seguin 62.2%
Defensive zone
Seguin 58.7%
Neutral zone
Seguin 51.3%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 57.4%
42.6%
57.4%
Paquette
Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
30.1% (73)
56.5% (712)
-26.4%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
59.7% (67)
+40.3%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (30)
44.9% (49)
-18.2%
On power play, Paquette has a +40.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Paquette is 19.5% vs right-shot opponents (41).
Paquette shoots left. Seguin is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Home / Away
Paquette
Seguin
Home
28.1% (32)
58.5% (402)
Away
30.6% (72)
53.8% (426)
By Period
Paquette
Seguin
P1
36.4%
58.4%
P2
27.9%
54.7%
P3
25.0%
54.1%
Final 5 min
30.0%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
29.8%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.0%