Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +19.7% FO% edge overall. Paquette wins 36.5% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 39.7% vs Gourde 49.5% (-19.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paquette 67.9%
Defensive zone
Paquette 63.8%
Neutral zone
Paquette 70.2%
Result
Cedric Paquette favored at 69.5%
69.5%
30.5%
Paquette
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Paquette
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Paquette
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
2
Paquette
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
30.1% (73)
49.1% (731)
-19.0%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
54.3% (81)
+45.7%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (30)
48.2% (85)
-21.5%
On power play, Paquette has a +45.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Paquette is 36.5% vs left-shot opponents (63).
Paquette shoots left. Gourde is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (556).
Home / Away
Paquette
Gourde
Home
28.1% (32)
50.9% (479)
Away
30.6% (72)
47.8% (418)
By Period
Paquette
Gourde
P1
36.4%
51.2%
P2
27.9%
49.8%
P3
25.0%
47.5%
Final 5 min
30.0%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
29.8%
Gourde
50.0%▲
43.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2021 | 2 | 14:12 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 2 | 04:24 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 1 | 15:08 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |