Chandler Stephenson vs Derek Ryan
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on offensive-zone draws (94% H2H, 16 meetings). Stephenson wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.3% vs Ryan 55.2% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Stephenson leads 18-14 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Stephenson 57.6%
Defensive zone
Ryan 59.9%
Neutral zone
Ryan 60.5%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Stephenson
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
14
(32 meetings)
18
14
Stephenson
Ryan
Last 10: Stephenson 6-4 Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
15
1
Stephenson
Ryan
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
9
Stephenson
Ryan
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
4
Stephenson
Ryan
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (5,743)
56.6% (4,102)
-4.7%
Power Play
59.8% (1,107)
53.2% (342)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (823)
47.8% (649)
-2.1%
On power play, Stephenson has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Stephenson is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,650).
Stephenson shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Ryan
Home
52.6% (3,827)
56.2% (2,559)
Away
52.2% (3,846)
54.4% (2,534)
By Period
Stephenson
Ryan
P1
51.6%
55.1%
P2
52.4%
54.7%
P3
52.8%
56.0%
OT
57.7%
58.3%
Final 5 min
52.2%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.4%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 03:40 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 2 | 10:45 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 2 | 10:40 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 05:26 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 15:54 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 08:50 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 18:56 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 12:45 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 08:31 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 17:23 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 11:40 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 14:54 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 14:56 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 04:34 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 16:42 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 04:26 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 3 | 04:36 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 3 | 02:23 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 1 | 08:45 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 22, 2021 | 3 | 02:03 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |