Chandler Stephenson vs Derek Ryan
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.3% vs Ryan 54.6% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 84.9%
Defensive zone
Ryan 75.8%
Neutral zone
Ryan 55.4%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Stephenson
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Stephenson
Ryan
Last 5: Stephenson 3-2 Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
3
0
Stephenson
Ryan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
2
Stephenson
Ryan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (829)
60.8% (263)
-9.2%
Power Play
62.7% (142)
100.0% (1)
-37.3%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (79)
46.2% (145)
-1.9%
On power play, Ryan has a +37.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Stephenson is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Stephenson shoots left. Ryan is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Ryan
Home
52.5% (499)
56.7% (201)
Away
52.6% (551)
54.8% (208)
By Period
Stephenson
Ryan
P1
50.2%
56.7%
P2
55.7%
56.8%
P3
50.9%
53.7%
Final 5 min
54.5%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2024 | 2 | 10:45 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 2 | 10:40 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 05:26 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 15:54 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 08:50 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |