Chandler Stephenson vs Evan Rodrigues
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Stephenson wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Rodrigues shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.0% vs Rodrigues 47.3% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 69.9%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 76.0%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 73.1%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 73.0%
27.0%
73.0%
Stephenson
Rodrigues
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Stephenson
Rodrigues
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
0
1
Stephenson
Rodrigues
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
0
1
Stephenson
Rodrigues
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
0
1
Stephenson
Rodrigues
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Rodrigues
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (801)
47.9% (637)
+4.2%
Power Play
62.0% (242)
47.9% (71)
+14.1%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (183)
37.3% (67)
+2.6%
On power play, Stephenson has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rodrigues shoots right. Stephenson is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (475).
Stephenson shoots left. Rodrigues is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (574).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Rodrigues
Home
53.1% (672)
48.3% (429)
Away
51.1% (554)
45.4% (346)
By Period
Stephenson
Rodrigues
P1
54.6%
48.3%
P2
51.3%
46.9%
P3
51.2%
45.6%
OT
50.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
51.9%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.2%
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | 3 | 01:11 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 2 | 16:51 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 1 | 18:24 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |