Chandler Stephenson vs Jack Finley
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Finley on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stephenson wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Finley shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.0% vs Finley 50.7% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 63.9%
Defensive zone
Finley 58.6%
Neutral zone
Finley 53.9%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Stephenson
Finley
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Stephenson
Finley
Last 5: Stephenson 2-3 Finley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
2
0
Stephenson
Finley
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Finley
0
3
Stephenson
Finley
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Finley
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (987)
50.3% (332)
+1.7%
Power Play
62.4% (266)
53.3% (15)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
39.7% (204)
54.2% (48)
-14.5%
On penalty kill, Finley has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Finley shoots right. Stephenson is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (570).
Stephenson shoots left. Finley is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (293).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Finley
Home
52.8% (765)
52.1% (234)
Away
51.4% (692)
49.1% (161)
By Period
Stephenson
Finley
P1
55.4%
51.3%
P2
50.4%
49.3%
P3
51.3%
52.3%
OT
48.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
44.0%▼
50.5%
52.2%
Finley
52.0%▼
54.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 19:55 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 16:52 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 11:43 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 12:00 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 09:59 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |