Chandler Stephenson vs Jack Finley
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Finley on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stephenson wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Finley shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.0% vs Finley 48.8% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 57.1%
Defensive zone
Finley 53.3%
Neutral zone
Finley 54.2%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Stephenson
Finley
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Stephenson
Finley
Last 5: Stephenson 2-3 Finley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
2
0
Stephenson
Finley
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Finley
0
3
Stephenson
Finley
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Finley
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (801)
47.3% (239)
+4.8%
Power Play
62.0% (242)
50.0% (14)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (183)
57.7% (26)
-17.8%
On penalty kill, Finley has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Finley shoots right. Stephenson is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (475).
Stephenson shoots left. Finley is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Finley
Home
53.1% (672)
50.0% (162)
Away
51.1% (554)
46.2% (117)
By Period
Stephenson
Finley
P1
54.6%
53.2%
P2
51.3%
44.6%
P3
51.2%
49.0%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.2%
Finley
54.0%▲
50.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 19:55 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 16:52 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 11:43 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 12:00 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 09:59 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |