Chandler Stephenson vs Jeff Carter
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stephenson wins 58.6% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 57.4% vs Carter 58.5% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 84.4%
Defensive zone
Carter 76.6%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 52.7%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Stephenson
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Stephenson
Carter
Last 5: Stephenson 2-3 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
2
Stephenson
Carter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
2
1
Stephenson
Carter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (837)
59.7% (727)
-2.0%
Power Play
64.2% (226)
68.1% (72)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (99)
53.2% (139)
-5.7%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Stephenson is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (486).
Stephenson shoots left. Carter is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (640).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Carter
Home
56.2% (589)
58.7% (455)
Away
60.0% (573)
60.0% (483)
By Period
Stephenson
Carter
P1
58.3%
61.3%
P2
58.3%
57.1%
P3
57.9%
59.8%
OT
54.5%
57.1%
Final 5 min
57.7%
60.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
58.1%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2023 | 3 | 09:36 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 2 | 13:57 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 1 | 05:53 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 1 | 03:54 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 1 | 03:33 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |