Chandler Stephenson vs Joe Pavelski
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.3% vs Pavelski 50.9% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Pavelski leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 55.5%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 59.9%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 58.9%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Stephenson
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
9
(10 meetings)
1
9
Stephenson
Pavelski
Last 10: Stephenson 1-9 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
3
Stephenson
Pavelski
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
3
Stephenson
Pavelski
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
3
Stephenson
Pavelski
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (829)
51.5% (594)
+0.1%
Power Play
62.7% (142)
51.7% (87)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (79)
28.6% (14)
+15.7%
On penalty kill, Stephenson has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Stephenson is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Stephenson shoots left. Pavelski is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (527).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Pavelski
Home
52.5% (499)
53.1% (339)
Away
52.6% (551)
49.2% (356)
By Period
Stephenson
Pavelski
P1
50.2%
53.8%
P2
55.7%
47.8%
P3
50.9%
50.2%
OT
63.6%
71.4%
Final 5 min
54.5%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 15:37 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 15:26 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 01:05 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 00:37 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 08:07 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 07:56 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 2 | 15:38 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 1 | 19:49 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 1 | 12:48 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |