Chandler Stephenson vs Jordan Staal
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (74% H2H, 19 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.3% vs Staal 55.3% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 32-30 in 62 meetings
Offensive zone
Stephenson 62.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 53.2%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 54.8%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Stephenson
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
32
(62 meetings)
30
32
Stephenson
Staal
Last 10: Stephenson 4-6 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
16
13
Stephenson
Staal
29 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
5
14
Stephenson
Staal
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephenson
9
5
Stephenson
Staal
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (5,743)
55.9% (14,620)
-4.0%
Power Play
59.8% (1,107)
62.7% (1,745)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (823)
48.0% (2,896)
-2.3%
On even strength, Staal has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Stephenson is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (5,023).
Stephenson shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Staal
Home
52.6% (3,827)
56.4% (9,663)
Away
52.2% (3,846)
54.3% (9,663)
By Period
Stephenson
Staal
P1
51.6%
55.2%
P2
52.4%
55.9%
P3
52.8%
54.9%
OT
57.7%
56.2%
Final 5 min
52.2%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.4%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 19:08 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 17:39 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 19:55 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 14:24 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 06:11 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 10:48 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 00:24 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 17:18 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 14:51 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 12:21 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 10:14 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 07:55 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 07:30 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 04:10 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 04:00 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 00:19 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 05:49 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 14:47 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 14:24 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 17:02 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |