Chandler Stephenson vs Kevin Stenlund
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Stephenson wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.0% vs Stenlund 54.3% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Stephenson leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Stephenson 67.9%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 73.1%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 50.6%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Stephenson
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Stephenson
Stenlund
Last 10: Stephenson 7-3 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
5
0
Stephenson
Stenlund
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
3
Stephenson
Stenlund
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephenson
2
0
Stephenson
Stenlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (801)
56.1% (615)
-4.0%
Power Play
62.0% (242)
53.2% (47)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (183)
52.1% (307)
-12.2%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Stephenson is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (475).
Stephenson shoots left. Stenlund is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Stenlund
Home
53.1% (672)
57.0% (458)
Away
51.1% (554)
52.6% (511)
By Period
Stephenson
Stenlund
P1
54.6%
55.1%
P2
51.3%
53.3%
P3
51.2%
56.4%
OT
50.0%
42.1%
Final 5 min
51.9%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.2%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 17:05 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 09:58 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 04:31 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 02:59 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 3 | 18:47 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 3 | 17:30 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 3 | 15:24 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 3 | 06:50 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 3 | 06:42 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 3 | 05:31 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 2 | 16:08 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |