Chandler Stephenson vs Mark Jankowski
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 51.5% vs Jankowski 50.5% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 56.9%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 51.1%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 50.3%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Stephenson
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Stephenson
Jankowski
Last 5: Stephenson 2-3 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
3
Stephenson
Jankowski
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
1
0
Stephenson
Jankowski
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephenson
1
0
Stephenson
Jankowski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (1,041)
51.3% (347)
-0.1%
Power Play
57.8% (211)
72.7% (11)
-14.9%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (222)
44.0% (75)
+3.7%
On power play, Jankowski has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Stephenson is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Stephenson shoots left. Jankowski is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (270).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Jankowski
Home
52.2% (751)
46.8% (188)
Away
51.0% (723)
53.5% (245)
By Period
Stephenson
Jankowski
P1
50.4%
51.6%
P2
51.5%
49.3%
P3
53.3%
50.9%
Final 5 min
51.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
51.6%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 14:48 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 05:15 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 10:46 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 01:26 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 01:13 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |