Chandler Stephenson vs Mikael Backlund
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.0% vs Backlund 49.7% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 72.6%
Defensive zone
Backlund 67.0%
Neutral zone
Backlund 50.6%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Stephenson
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Stephenson
Backlund
Last 6: Stephenson 3-3 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
2
1
Stephenson
Backlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
2
Stephenson
Backlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephenson
1
0
Stephenson
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (801)
50.1% (891)
+2.0%
Power Play
62.0% (242)
53.1% (64)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (183)
47.8% (278)
-7.9%
On power play, Stephenson has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Stephenson is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (751).
Stephenson shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (871).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Backlund
Home
53.1% (672)
48.1% (580)
Away
51.1% (554)
51.1% (653)
By Period
Stephenson
Backlund
P1
54.6%
45.1%
P2
51.3%
54.7%
P3
51.2%
49.0%
OT
50.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
51.9%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.2%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 11:42 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 11:34 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 19:10 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 03:29 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 15:42 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |