Chandler Stephenson vs Mikko Rantanen
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikko Rantanen holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 51.5% vs Rantanen 52.1% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 77.7%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 86.5%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 52.0%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
Stephenson
Rantanen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Stephenson
Rantanen
Last 7: Stephenson 4-3 Rantanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
0
3
Stephenson
Rantanen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
4
0
Stephenson
Rantanen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Rantanen
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (1,041)
55.3% (188)
-4.1%
Power Play
57.8% (211)
46.3% (67)
+11.5%
On power play, Stephenson has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rantanen shoots left. Stephenson is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Stephenson shoots left. Rantanen is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (172).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Rantanen
Home
52.2% (751)
57.3% (143)
Away
51.0% (723)
47.3% (112)
By Period
Stephenson
Rantanen
P1
50.4%
47.8%
P2
51.5%
56.8%
P3
53.3%
54.5%
OT
40.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
51.3%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
51.6%
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 17:25 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 2 | 18:46 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 1 | 19:51 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 18:24 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 18:07 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 03:45 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 10:38 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |