Chandler Stephenson vs Paul Stastny
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.3% vs Stastny 55.1% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 63.5%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 66.1%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 61.5%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 62.7%
62.7%
37.3%
Stephenson
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Stephenson
Stastny
Last 7: Stephenson 2-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stephenson
Stastny
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Stephenson
Stastny
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
3
Stephenson
Stastny
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (5,743)
54.6% (10,616)
-2.7%
Power Play
59.8% (1,107)
59.1% (1,994)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (823)
52.9% (1,119)
-7.2%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Stephenson is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (5,023).
Stephenson shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Stastny
Home
52.6% (3,827)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
52.2% (3,846)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Stephenson
Stastny
P1
51.6%
56.3%
P2
52.4%
55.4%
P3
52.8%
53.5%
OT
57.7%
62.9%
Final 5 min
52.2%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.4%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 16:14 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 06:16 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 12:34 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 11:17 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 11:09 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 1 | 15:07 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 3 | 06:54 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |