Chandler Stephenson vs Paul Stastny
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 51.9% vs Stastny 55.4% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 61.8%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 63.6%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 57.1%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Stephenson
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Stephenson
Stastny
Last 5: Stephenson 1-4 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Stephenson
Stastny
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
3
Stephenson
Stastny
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (993)
59.2% (370)
-8.2%
Power Play
60.5% (152)
40.9% (44)
+19.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (110)
51.7% (58)
-1.7%
On power play, Stephenson has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Stephenson is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (851).
Stephenson shoots left. Stastny is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Stastny
Home
53.3% (634)
57.7% (215)
Away
50.7% (621)
55.6% (257)
By Period
Stephenson
Stastny
P1
50.7%
57.7%
P2
51.2%
54.2%
P3
53.2%
57.7%
OT
70.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
52.6%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.0%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 06:16 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 12:34 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 11:17 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 11:09 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 1 | 15:07 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |