Chandler Stephenson vs Ridly Greig
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.0% vs Greig 50.6% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 70.2%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 50.0%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 57.2%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 60.9%
60.9%
39.1%
Stephenson
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Stephenson
Greig
Last 5: Stephenson 3-2 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
2
0
Stephenson
Greig
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
0
1
Stephenson
Greig
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stephenson
Greig
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (801)
51.5% (336)
+0.6%
Power Play
62.0% (242)
66.7% (24)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (183)
43.2% (81)
-3.3%
On power play, Greig has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Stephenson is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (751).
Stephenson shoots left. Greig is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (230).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Greig
Home
53.1% (672)
50.2% (247)
Away
51.1% (554)
51.5% (194)
By Period
Stephenson
Greig
P1
54.6%
46.9%
P2
51.3%
58.8%
P3
51.2%
48.3%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.2%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 02:54 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 00:07 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 16, 2025 | OT | 01:43 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 06:27 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |