Chandler Stephenson vs Ryan Hartman
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Stephenson wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.0% vs Hartman 45.5% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 70.4%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 85.5%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 70.4%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 74.2%
74.2%
25.8%
Stephenson
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Stephenson
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stephenson
Hartman
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
1
0
Stephenson
Hartman
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephenson
1
0
Stephenson
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (801)
44.8% (830)
+7.3%
Power Play
62.0% (242)
47.8% (92)
+14.2%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (183)
37.5% (16)
+2.4%
On power play, Stephenson has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Stephenson is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (475).
Stephenson shoots left. Hartman is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Hartman
Home
53.1% (672)
45.0% (515)
Away
51.1% (554)
44.9% (423)
By Period
Stephenson
Hartman
P1
54.6%
46.5%
P2
51.3%
39.9%
P3
51.2%
48.6%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.2%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 01:21 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 19:47 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 07:36 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 1 | 13:07 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |