Chandler Stephenson vs Sam Lafferty
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lafferty on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 51.5% vs Lafferty 50.4% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 54.4%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 51.2%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 50.5%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Stephenson
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Stephenson
Lafferty
Last 5: Stephenson 2-3 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stephenson
Lafferty
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
1
2
Stephenson
Lafferty
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (1,041)
50.7% (144)
+0.5%
Power Play
57.8% (211)
50.0% (2)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (222)
50.0% (10)
-2.3%
On power play, Stephenson has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Stephenson is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Stephenson shoots left. Lafferty is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Lafferty
Home
52.2% (751)
53.2% (62)
Away
51.0% (723)
48.9% (94)
By Period
Stephenson
Lafferty
P1
50.4%
53.3%
P2
51.5%
46.7%
P3
53.3%
52.8%
Final 5 min
51.3%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
51.6%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 05:19 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 01:30 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 00:19 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 17:50 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 04:17 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |