Chandler Stephenson vs Seth Jarvis
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +17.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 51.5% vs Jarvis 40.5% (+17.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 64.7%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 95.7%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 80.6%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 84.7%
84.7%
15.3%
Stephenson
Jarvis
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Stephenson
Jarvis
Last 7: Stephenson 5-2 Jarvis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jarvis
0
2
Stephenson
Jarvis
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
4
0
Stephenson
Jarvis
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephenson
1
0
Stephenson
Jarvis
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (1,041)
32.1% (81)
+19.1%
Power Play
57.8% (211)
38.6% (57)
+19.2%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (222)
28.6% (14)
+19.1%
On power play, Stephenson has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Stephenson is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Stephenson shoots left. Jarvis is 29.6% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Jarvis
Home
52.2% (751)
40.6% (69)
Away
51.0% (723)
28.9% (83)
By Period
Stephenson
Jarvis
P1
50.4%
30.9%
P2
51.5%
30.6%
P3
53.3%
47.1%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
28.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
51.6%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
34.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 10:29 | Offensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 11:37 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 19:43 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 10:47 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 05:05 | Offensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 03:30 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |