Chandler Stephenson vs Steven Lorentz
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Stephenson wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 57.4% vs Lorentz 48.2% (+10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 88.8%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 55.6%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 78.9%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 77.7%
77.7%
22.3%
Stephenson
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Stephenson
Lorentz
Last 6: Stephenson 4-2 Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
3
1
Stephenson
Lorentz
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stephenson
Lorentz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (837)
48.3% (497)
+9.4%
Power Play
64.2% (226)
63.6% (11)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (99)
38.5% (39)
+9.0%
On even strength, Stephenson has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Stephenson is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Stephenson shoots left. Lorentz is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (344).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Lorentz
Home
56.2% (589)
50.4% (238)
Away
60.0% (573)
46.0% (309)
By Period
Stephenson
Lorentz
P1
58.3%
49.1%
P2
58.3%
48.0%
P3
57.9%
47.2%
OT
54.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.7%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
58.1%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2023 | 1 | 05:25 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 03:04 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 02:51 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 1 | 16:36 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 11:09 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 11:29 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |