Chandler Stephenson vs Tage Thompson

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Chandler Stephenson holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stephenson wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Stephenson 52.0% vs Thompson 45.3% (+7.5%)
H2H factor Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Thompson 53.9%
Defensive zone Stephenson 66.0%
Neutral zone Thompson 50.7%
Result Chandler Stephenson favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Stephenson Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
4 - 4 (8 meetings)
4
4
Stephenson Thompson
Last 8: Stephenson 4-4 Thompson

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
2
Stephenson Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
2
Stephenson Thompson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephenson
3
0
Stephenson Thompson
3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Stephenson
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (801)
44.9% (642)
+7.2%
Power Play
62.0% (242)
47.9% (94)
+14.1%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (183)
33.3% (33)
+6.6%
On power play, Stephenson has a +14.1% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Stephenson is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (475).
Stephenson shoots left. Thompson is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (549).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Thompson
Home
53.1% (672)
46.0% (391)
Away
51.1% (554)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Stephenson
Thompson
P1
54.6%
48.1%
P2
51.3%
44.9%
P3
51.2%
41.2%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
51.9%
42.8%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
56.0%
52.5%
52.2%
Thompson
36.0%
39.5%
44.7%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Dec 14, 2025 3 06:08 Offensive Tage Thompson
Dec 14, 2025 3 00:11 Defensive Tage Thompson
Dec 14, 2025 3 00:00 Neutral Chandler Stephenson
Dec 14, 2025 2 00:00 Neutral Chandler Stephenson
Dec 14, 2025 1 18:29 Offensive Tage Thompson
Dec 14, 2025 1 07:12 Defensive Tage Thompson
Dec 14, 2025 1 04:46 Defensive Chandler Stephenson
Dec 14, 2025 1 00:00 Neutral Chandler Stephenson