Scouting Report
Mathew Barzal holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hudon on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Hudon wins 40.4% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hudon 43.3% vs Barzal 43.4% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Hudon leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Hudon 62.7%
Defensive zone
Barzal 72.7%
Neutral zone
Barzal 50.7%
Result
Charles Hudon favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Hudon
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Hudon
Barzal
Last 10: Hudon 6-4 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Hudon
Barzal
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hudon
Barzal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hudon
3
2
Hudon
Barzal
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hudon
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
38.5% (174)
42.3% (813)
-3.8%
Power Play
47.7% (44)
47.4% (19)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
100.0% (2)
-100.0%
On penalty kill, Barzal has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Hudon is 40.4% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Hudon shoots left. Barzal is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Hudon
Barzal
Home
40.0% (100)
44.3% (436)
Away
40.3% (119)
40.7% (398)
By Period
Hudon
Barzal
P1
39.7%
39.7%
P2
48.2%
44.3%
P3
31.1%
44.2%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
43.8%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hudon
36.0%▼
41.5%
40.2%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2018 | 3 | 14:39 | Neutral | Charles Hudon |
| Jan 15, 2018 | 3 | 06:01 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 15, 2018 | 3 | 05:51 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 15, 2018 | 3 | 01:07 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 15, 2018 | 3 | 01:02 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 15, 2018 | 2 | 19:16 | Neutral | Charles Hudon |
| Jan 15, 2018 | 2 | 15:10 | Neutral | Charles Hudon |
| Jan 15, 2018 | 2 | 11:45 | Offensive | Charles Hudon |
| Jan 15, 2018 | 2 | 01:46 | Defensive | Charles Hudon |
| Jan 15, 2018 | 1 | 08:51 | Offensive | Charles Hudon |
| Jan 15, 2018 | 1 | 06:19 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |