Scouting Report
Mathew Barzal holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Barzal on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hudon wins 40.2% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hudon 43.3% vs Barzal 42.2% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Barzal leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Hudon 50.1%
Defensive zone
Barzal 60.5%
Neutral zone
Barzal 51.4%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Hudon
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Hudon
Barzal
Last 10: Hudon 5-5 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Hudon
Barzal
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
1
2
Hudon
Barzal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hudon
3
2
Hudon
Barzal
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hudon
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
38.1% (194)
41.9% (3,565)
-3.8%
Power Play
51.1% (47)
43.4% (205)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
42.3% (26)
-42.3%
On penalty kill, Barzal has a +42.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Hudon is 40.2% vs right-shot opponents (102).
Hudon shoots left. Barzal is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,699).
Home / Away
Hudon
Barzal
Home
42.2% (116)
43.1% (1,895)
Away
38.9% (126)
40.9% (1,901)
By Period
Hudon
Barzal
P1
40.8%
40.7%
P2
47.3%
44.4%
P3
31.6%
41.0%
OT
50.0%
27.6%
Final 5 min
43.1%
39.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hudon
36.0%▼
41.5%
40.5%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
42.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2020 | 1 | 15:57 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 15, 2018 | 3 | 14:39 | Neutral | Charles Hudon |
| Jan 15, 2018 | 3 | 06:01 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 15, 2018 | 3 | 05:51 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 15, 2018 | 3 | 01:07 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 15, 2018 | 3 | 01:02 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 15, 2018 | 2 | 19:16 | Neutral | Charles Hudon |
| Jan 15, 2018 | 2 | 15:10 | Neutral | Charles Hudon |
| Jan 15, 2018 | 2 | 11:45 | Offensive | Charles Hudon |
| Jan 15, 2018 | 2 | 01:46 | Defensive | Charles Hudon |
| Jan 15, 2018 | 1 | 08:51 | Offensive | Charles Hudon |
| Jan 15, 2018 | 1 | 06:19 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |