Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +14.0% FO% edge overall. Ritchie wins 39.3% vs right-shot opponents — Coyle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ritchie 39.8% vs Coyle 50.5% (-14.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ritchie 84.2%
Defensive zone
Coyle 65.8%
Neutral zone
Ritchie 62.9%
Result
Calum Ritchie favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Ritchie
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Ritchie
Coyle
Last 6: Ritchie 2-4 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
0
2
Ritchie
Coyle
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Ritchie
Coyle
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ritchie
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
36.1% (296)
52.3% (811)
-16.2%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
44.3% (61)
+1.2%
On even strength, Coyle has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Ritchie is 39.3% vs right-shot opponents (112).
Ritchie shoots right. Coyle is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Home / Away
Ritchie
Coyle
Home
37.7% (162)
49.0% (537)
Away
35.2% (145)
52.1% (516)
By Period
Ritchie
Coyle
P1
33.3%
48.7%
P2
38.3%
49.6%
P3
37.6%
53.1%
Final 5 min
38.8%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ritchie
34.0%▲
32.0%
36.5%
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 10:38 | Neutral | Calum Ritchie |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 2 | 15:45 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 2 | 15:21 | Neutral | Calum Ritchie |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 2 | 02:09 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 18:42 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 11:45 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |