Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Cizikas wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Coyle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 54.4% vs Coyle 48.8% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 85.0%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 69.5%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 77.6%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 77.5%
77.5%
22.5%
Cizikas
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Cizikas
Coyle
Last 7: Cizikas 5-2 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
0
1
Cizikas
Coyle
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Coyle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
4
1
Cizikas
Coyle
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (576)
49.5% (576)
+6.9%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
54.2% (48)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (33)
43.4% (145)
-10.1%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Cizikas is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (203).
Cizikas shoots left. Coyle is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Coyle
Home
55.4% (303)
47.4% (409)
Away
54.9% (308)
50.0% (360)
By Period
Cizikas
Coyle
P1
53.0%
50.8%
P2
56.0%
46.0%
P3
56.2%
48.4%
Final 5 min
51.8%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.2%
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 01:36 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 15:15 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 11:59 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 09:40 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 04:48 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 00:07 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |