Charlie Coyle vs Christian Dvorak
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Coyle wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Dvorak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Dvorak 55.3% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 51.4%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 56.4%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 51.4%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Coyle
Dvorak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Coyle
Dvorak
Last 7: Coyle 3-4 Dvorak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
2
Coyle
Dvorak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
0
1
Coyle
Dvorak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
1
Coyle
Dvorak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Dvorak
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (576)
56.4% (857)
-6.9%
Power Play
54.2% (48)
69.0% (29)
-14.8%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (145)
50.6% (174)
-7.2%
On power play, Dvorak has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dvorak shoots left. Coyle is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Coyle shoots right. Dvorak is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
Coyle
Dvorak
Home
47.4% (409)
55.1% (501)
Away
50.0% (360)
56.4% (559)
By Period
Coyle
Dvorak
P1
50.8%
55.8%
P2
46.0%
52.5%
P3
48.4%
58.2%
OT
64.3%
63.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.6%
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 13:32 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 08:14 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 19:44 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 12:54 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 2 | 16:01 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 04:58 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 02:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |