Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Coyle wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Sillinger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Sillinger 46.7% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sillinger 54.9%
Defensive zone
Coyle 57.0%
Neutral zone
Coyle 50.4%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Coyle
Sillinger
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Coyle
Sillinger
Last 8: Coyle 4-4 Sillinger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
0
2
Coyle
Sillinger
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
4
2
Coyle
Sillinger
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Sillinger
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (576)
46.5% (535)
+3.0%
Power Play
54.2% (48)
46.7% (30)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (145)
43.5% (85)
-0.1%
On power play, Coyle has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sillinger shoots left. Coyle is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Coyle shoots right. Sillinger is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (209).
Home / Away
Coyle
Sillinger
Home
47.4% (409)
48.7% (339)
Away
50.0% (360)
43.4% (311)
By Period
Coyle
Sillinger
P1
50.8%
46.3%
P2
46.0%
47.9%
P3
48.4%
44.0%
OT
64.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.6%
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 16:40 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 12:14 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 09:28 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 1 | 14:55 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 3 | 06:58 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 3 | 02:46 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 1 | 17:27 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 1 | 05:57 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |