Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Coyle wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Lazar shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 51.5% vs Lazar 49.0% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 54.1%
Defensive zone
Coyle 60.7%
Neutral zone
Lazar 50.6%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Coyle
Lazar
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Coyle
Lazar
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Lazar
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Lazar
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (1,046)
48.7% (302)
+4.3%
Power Play
57.6% (144)
44.4% (9)
+13.2%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (287)
50.0% (54)
-6.4%
On power play, Coyle has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lazar shoots right. Coyle is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Coyle shoots right. Lazar is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Home / Away
Coyle
Lazar
Home
54.5% (719)
49.2% (189)
Away
48.8% (758)
48.3% (176)
By Period
Coyle
Lazar
P1
51.1%
50.8%
P2
50.0%
45.2%
P3
53.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
51.6%
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 18:47 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |