Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Coyle wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Grant shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 47.1% vs Grant 51.4% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Grant 54.7%
Defensive zone
Grant 92.1%
Neutral zone
Grant 72.3%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 66.4%
33.6%
66.4%
Coyle
Grant
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Coyle
Grant
Last 6: Coyle 6-0 Grant
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
0
Coyle
Grant
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
4
0
Coyle
Grant
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Grant
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (562)
51.7% (480)
-5.1%
Power Play
50.7% (69)
63.0% (54)
-12.3%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (68)
47.5% (160)
-4.9%
On power play, Grant has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grant shoots left. Coyle is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Coyle shoots right. Grant is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (266).
Home / Away
Coyle
Grant
Home
44.3% (332)
54.8% (334)
Away
48.8% (367)
48.6% (360)
By Period
Coyle
Grant
P1
47.5%
54.7%
P2
47.5%
46.1%
P3
45.7%
54.2%
OT
35.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.8%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
46.6%
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2020 | 3 | 15:59 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 2 | 18:39 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 3 | 19:54 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 3 | 19:39 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 3 | 15:22 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 2 | 11:38 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |