Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on defensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Grant 52.2% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Grant leads 12-12 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Coyle 75.1%
Defensive zone
Grant 65.7%
Neutral zone
Coyle 52.3%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Coyle
Grant
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
12
(24 meetings)
12
12
Coyle
Grant
Last 10: Coyle 8-2 Grant
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
4
3
Coyle
Grant
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
3
7
Coyle
Grant
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
5
2
Coyle
Grant
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Grant
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,856)
53.7% (2,864)
-4.3%
Power Play
50.0% (792)
61.7% (175)
-11.7%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (1,090)
46.0% (922)
-2.4%
On power play, Grant has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grant shoots left. Coyle is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (6,979).
Coyle shoots right. Grant is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,349).
Home / Away
Coyle
Grant
Home
49.8% (4,835)
54.3% (1,956)
Away
47.9% (4,903)
50.2% (2,005)
By Period
Coyle
Grant
P1
49.4%
51.1%
P2
48.3%
51.5%
P3
48.8%
54.3%
OT
49.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
48.4%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.8%
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2022 | OT | 04:02 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 11:32 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 2 | 01:28 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 3 | 15:59 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 2 | 18:39 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 3 | 19:54 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 3 | 19:39 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 3 | 15:22 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 2 | 11:38 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 3 | 14:16 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 1 | 13:34 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 1 | 01:08 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 17, 2019 | 3 | 10:48 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 17, 2019 | 3 | 08:55 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 17, 2019 | 2 | 17:47 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 17, 2019 | 2 | 11:43 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 17, 2019 | 2 | 08:03 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 17, 2019 | 2 | 04:28 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 17, 2019 | 2 | 01:18 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 17, 2019 | 1 | 03:03 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |