Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Coyle wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Gambrell shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 52.4% vs Gambrell 46.3% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 69.2%
Defensive zone
Coyle 76.3%
Neutral zone
Coyle 71.8%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 72.8%
72.8%
27.2%
Coyle
Gambrell
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Coyle
Gambrell
Last 6: Coyle 4-2 Gambrell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Gambrell
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Gambrell
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
1
Coyle
Gambrell
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Gambrell
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (849)
46.2% (266)
+6.5%
Power Play
66.7% (39)
66.7% (3)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (131)
35.1% (37)
+13.0%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gambrell shoots right. Coyle is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (300).
Coyle shoots right. Gambrell is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (99).
Home / Away
Coyle
Gambrell
Home
53.3% (512)
46.6% (161)
Away
51.9% (507)
43.4% (145)
By Period
Coyle
Gambrell
P1
53.8%
44.3%
P2
47.8%
46.6%
P3
56.7%
44.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Gambrell
50.0%▲
48.0%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2023 | 2 | 15:50 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 1 | 01:15 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 11:30 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 01:51 | Neutral | Dylan Gambrell |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 12:53 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 02:27 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |