Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Coyle wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Roslovic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 52.4% vs Roslovic 45.5% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 54.6%
Defensive zone
Coyle 91.0%
Neutral zone
Coyle 84.2%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 77.8%
77.8%
22.2%
Coyle
Roslovic
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Coyle
Roslovic
Last 5: Coyle 4-1 Roslovic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
0
1
Coyle
Roslovic
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Roslovic
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
0
Coyle
Roslovic
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Roslovic
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (849)
45.8% (729)
+6.9%
Power Play
66.7% (39)
42.9% (105)
+23.8%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (131)
38.2% (55)
+9.9%
On power play, Coyle has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roslovic shoots right. Coyle is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (300).
Coyle shoots right. Roslovic is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (323).
Home / Away
Coyle
Roslovic
Home
53.3% (512)
45.4% (447)
Away
51.9% (507)
44.6% (442)
By Period
Coyle
Roslovic
P1
53.8%
43.2%
P2
47.8%
44.7%
P3
56.7%
47.2%
OT
38.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
43.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 10:07 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 13:27 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 09:41 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 07:07 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 02:05 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |