Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Coyle wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Benn shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Benn 55.0% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 71.5%
Defensive zone
Coyle 80.8%
Neutral zone
Coyle 59.2%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 62.3%
62.3%
37.7%
Coyle
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Coyle
Benn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
0
1
Coyle
Benn
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Benn
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
0
1
Coyle
Benn
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (576)
55.9% (365)
-6.4%
Power Play
54.2% (48)
56.8% (132)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (145)
53.1% (32)
-9.7%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Coyle is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Coyle shoots right. Benn is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (200).
Home / Away
Coyle
Benn
Home
47.4% (409)
57.3% (267)
Away
50.0% (360)
54.6% (262)
By Period
Coyle
Benn
P1
50.8%
54.3%
P2
46.0%
55.7%
P3
48.4%
58.1%
Final 5 min
46.7%
59.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.6%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2025 | 3 | 10:01 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 19:27 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 02:42 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1 | 08:45 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |