Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 49.2% vs Spezza 52.4% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 78.8%
Defensive zone
Coyle 50.7%
Neutral zone
Spezza 55.7%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 71.4%
28.6%
71.4%
Coyle
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Coyle
Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
1
Coyle
Spezza
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Spezza
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (921)
53.7% (451)
-3.1%
Power Play
51.0% (96)
54.3% (92)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
30.1% (83)
38.2% (34)
-8.1%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Coyle is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Coyle shoots right. Spezza is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Coyle
Spezza
Home
51.8% (517)
55.0% (282)
Away
46.7% (583)
50.8% (295)
By Period
Coyle
Spezza
P1
49.2%
53.1%
P2
52.8%
53.2%
P3
44.8%
52.3%
Final 5 min
50.0%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
49.1%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 03:46 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 18:27 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 3 | 02:25 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 07:18 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |