Charlie Coyle vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Coyle wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.2% vs Pageau 58.8% (-9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 56.0%
Defensive zone
Coyle 53.0%
Neutral zone
Pageau 53.5%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Coyle
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Coyle
Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
2
Coyle
Pageau
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Pageau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (612)
59.2% (502)
-7.6%
Power Play
42.6% (47)
69.6% (23)
-27.0%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (146)
61.3% (163)
-14.7%
On power play, Pageau has a +27.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Coyle is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Coyle shoots right. Pageau is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Coyle
Pageau
Home
47.5% (394)
59.5% (299)
Away
52.8% (411)
60.4% (389)
By Period
Coyle
Pageau
P1
49.6%
55.3%
P2
48.9%
62.2%
P3
52.0%
61.1%
OT
50.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
45.8%
62.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
50.2%
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
60.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 11:43 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 1 | 10:56 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 1 | 06:41 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 01:27 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |