Charlie Coyle vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Coyle wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Pageau 58.8% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 53.9%
Defensive zone
Pageau 51.7%
Neutral zone
Pageau 54.0%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Coyle
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Coyle
Pageau
Last 8: Coyle 4-4 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
3
Coyle
Pageau
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
1
Coyle
Pageau
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (811)
59.1% (687)
-6.8%
Power Play
44.3% (61)
69.4% (36)
-25.1%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (181)
60.1% (213)
-15.3%
On power play, Pageau has a +25.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Coyle is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Coyle shoots right. Pageau is 57.6% vs right-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Coyle
Pageau
Home
49.0% (537)
57.8% (377)
Away
52.1% (516)
61.0% (559)
By Period
Coyle
Pageau
P1
48.7%
54.1%
P2
49.6%
62.1%
P3
53.1%
61.8%
OT
45.5%
75.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.5%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 09:48 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 15:26 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 12:28 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 17:10 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 11:43 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 1 | 10:56 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 1 | 06:41 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 01:27 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |