Charlie Coyle vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Coyle wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Kotkaniemi 51.5% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 66.0%
Defensive zone
Coyle 74.0%
Neutral zone
Coyle 55.0%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Coyle
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Coyle
Kotkaniemi
Last 5: Coyle 2-3 Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Kotkaniemi
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
0
2
Coyle
Kotkaniemi
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (576)
52.8% (670)
-3.3%
Power Play
54.2% (48)
37.5% (32)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (145)
14.3% (7)
+29.1%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +29.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Coyle is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Coyle shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (250).
Home / Away
Coyle
Kotkaniemi
Home
47.4% (409)
52.5% (366)
Away
50.0% (360)
51.0% (343)
By Period
Coyle
Kotkaniemi
P1
50.8%
53.8%
P2
46.0%
49.2%
P3
48.4%
52.6%
Final 5 min
46.7%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.6%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 03:27 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 14:27 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 12:32 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 09:32 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1 | 06:28 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |