Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Thornton 54.3% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 16-15 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 67.4%
Defensive zone
Coyle 64.1%
Neutral zone
Thornton 54.3%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Coyle
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
16
(31 meetings)
15
16
Coyle
Thornton
Last 10: Coyle 7-3 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
7
4
Coyle
Thornton
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
4
5
Coyle
Thornton
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
4
7
Coyle
Thornton
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,856)
53.5% (6,640)
-4.1%
Power Play
50.0% (792)
57.2% (1,387)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (1,090)
56.7% (427)
-13.1%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Coyle is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (6,979).
Coyle shoots right. Thornton is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (3,270).
Home / Away
Coyle
Thornton
Home
49.8% (4,835)
55.8% (4,271)
Away
47.9% (4,903)
52.8% (4,219)
By Period
Coyle
Thornton
P1
49.4%
55.0%
P2
48.3%
53.3%
P3
48.8%
54.4%
OT
49.0%
56.4%
Final 5 min
48.4%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.8%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2019 | 2 | 14:37 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 2 | 08:31 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 2 | 01:40 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 2 | 01:31 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 1 | 15:10 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 1 | 11:44 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 1 | 09:20 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 1 | 03:07 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 1 | 12:47 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 1 | 13:17 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 3 | 12:06 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 3 | 07:39 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 3 | 05:30 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 2 | 19:02 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 1 | 17:53 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 1 | 13:15 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 3 | 19:49 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 3 | 17:02 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 3 | 14:34 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |