Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Veleno on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Coyle wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Veleno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Veleno 47.4% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 51.8%
Defensive zone
Coyle 52.8%
Neutral zone
Veleno 51.8%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Coyle
Veleno
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Coyle
Veleno
Last 5: Coyle 2-3 Veleno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
0
1
Coyle
Veleno
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
1
2
Coyle
Veleno
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Veleno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Veleno
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (576)
47.1% (420)
+2.4%
Power Play
54.2% (48)
100.0% (1)
-45.8%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (145)
25.0% (8)
+18.4%
On power play, Veleno has a +45.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Veleno shoots left. Coyle is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Coyle shoots right. Veleno is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (141).
Home / Away
Coyle
Veleno
Home
47.4% (409)
47.8% (201)
Away
50.0% (360)
46.1% (228)
By Period
Coyle
Veleno
P1
50.8%
48.8%
P2
46.0%
47.9%
P3
48.4%
44.2%
Final 5 min
46.7%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.6%
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2025 | 2 | 15:21 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 2 | 08:17 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 1 | 16:55 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 1 | 03:02 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 1 | 02:48 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |