Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Reichel on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 51.5% vs Reichel 45.6% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reichel 79.3%
Defensive zone
Coyle 62.9%
Neutral zone
Reichel 56.0%
Result
Lukas Reichel favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Coyle
Reichel
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Coyle
Reichel
Last 7: Coyle 3-4 Reichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reichel
1
2
Coyle
Reichel
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Coyle
Reichel
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Reichel
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (1,046)
43.5% (170)
+9.5%
Power Play
57.6% (144)
50.0% (24)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (287)
0.0% (4)
+43.6%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +43.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reichel shoots left. Coyle is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,181).
Coyle shoots right. Reichel is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (93).
Home / Away
Coyle
Reichel
Home
54.5% (719)
45.7% (81)
Away
48.8% (758)
41.9% (117)
By Period
Coyle
Reichel
P1
51.1%
48.4%
P2
50.0%
34.3%
P3
53.3%
46.9%
OT
57.1%
100.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
51.6%
Reichel
42.0%▲
40.0%
43.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 06:21 | Defensive | Lukas Reichel |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 02:17 | Offensive | Lukas Reichel |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 16:40 | Offensive | Lukas Reichel |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 09:54 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 3 | 18:04 | Defensive | Lukas Reichel |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 3 | 15:02 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 2 | 14:21 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |