Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kunin on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Kunin 46.1% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 50.6%
Defensive zone
Kunin 55.2%
Neutral zone
Coyle 50.4%
Result
Luke Kunin favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Coyle
Kunin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Coyle
Kunin
Last 9: Coyle 4-5 Kunin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Kunin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kunin
1
2
Coyle
Kunin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Coyle
Kunin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Kunin
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,856)
47.1% (1,622)
+2.3%
Power Play
50.0% (792)
46.4% (138)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (1,090)
40.2% (333)
+3.4%
On power play, Coyle has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kunin shoots right. Coyle is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,759).
Coyle shoots right. Kunin is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (582).
Home / Away
Coyle
Kunin
Home
49.8% (4,835)
45.5% (1,048)
Away
47.9% (4,903)
46.4% (1,045)
By Period
Coyle
Kunin
P1
49.4%
47.9%
P2
48.3%
45.7%
P3
48.8%
43.9%
OT
49.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.4%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.8%
Kunin
46.0%▼
53.0%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 12:18 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 17:05 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 09:17 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 18:06 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 11:42 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 3 | 19:24 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 23, 2019 | OT | 02:10 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 3 | 18:05 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |